{"id":3848,"date":"2025-01-15T11:45:48","date_gmt":"2025-01-15T11:45:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/law.temple.edu\/aer\/?p=3848"},"modified":"2025-01-15T11:46:27","modified_gmt":"2025-01-15T11:46:27","slug":"seeing-is-predicting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/law.temple.edu\/aer\/2025\/01\/15\/seeing-is-predicting\/","title":{"rendered":"SEEING IS PREDICTING"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>BY JULES EPSTEIN<\/p>\n<p>When we look at something \u2013 an inanimate object, an event unfolding \u2013 does that stimulus go into our brain and tell the brain \u201chere I am, recognize me!\u201d\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0Put more simply, is it like a camera where sensory input paints the picture on the \u2018film.\u2019\u00a0 Or is the brain wired differently, to serve as a prediction machine,\u00a0 telling us \u201chere\u2019s what you are seeing\u201d based on a prediction model?<\/p>\n<p>According to Professor Andy Clark,\u00a0 the answer is the latter.\u00a0 This is explained in his new book THE EXPERIENCE MACHINE \u2013 HOW OUR MINDS PREDICT AND SHAPE REALITY (Pantheon Books 2023).\u00a0 And that understanding of how we \u2018see\u2019 is critical in the courtroom in at least two ways.<\/p>\n<p>First, the thesis.\u00a0 Clark explains that<\/p>\n<p>[c]ontrary to the standard belief that our senses are a passive window into the world, what is emerging is a picture of an ever-active brain that is always striving to predict what the world might currently have to offer.\u00a0 Those predictions then structure and shape the whole of human experience, from the way we interpret a person\u2019s facial expression, to our feelings of pain, to our plans for an outing to the cinema.<\/p>\n<p>EXPERIENCE, xii-xiii.\u00a0 He adds that \u201cwe are never really simply seeing what\u2019s \u2018really there,\u2019 stripped bare of our own anticipations or insulated from our own past experiences.\u00a0 EXPERIENCE, xiii.\u00a0 Finally, he makes clear that \u201c\u201d[w]hen the brain strongly predicts a certain sight, a sound, or a feeling, that prediction plays a role in shaping what we seem to see, hear or feel.\u201d\u00a0 EXPERIENCE, xv.<\/p>\n<p>In some ways this should sound familiar to advocacy educators.\u00a0 When we think about the power of story, we emphasize that listeners take facts and mold them into a narrative, and often that narrative [if we don\u2019t persuasively frame it] is one the listener is accustomed to and thus imposes it as <em>the<\/em> frame for your case.<\/p>\n<p>But is there more we can learn and apply as advocates?\u00a0 In a segment tiled \u201cPerceiving What You Feel,\u201d Clark begins with a simple illustration \u2013 if you already believe [predict] that a friend is angry with you, you may see their face is reflecting anger even though to others it appears neutral.\u00a0 At a deeper and more profound level, Clark uses this to explain what is sometimes termed \u201cshooter bias.\u201d\u00a0 When a police officer gets inner bodily sensations \u2013 heightened fear, increased heart rate, sweaty hands \u2013 sensations that may be coupled with \u201cmisguided racial stereotypes, the police officer\u2019s predictive thinking will make them \u2018see\u2019 a gun in what is actually a neutral object such as a cellphone.\u00a0 Clark\u2019s purpose is not to excuse but to explain \u2013 in that instance the officer may be perceiving what their feelings predict.\u00a0 Trying to put a jury \u201cin the moment\u201d in such circumstances, or make a meaningful assessment of <em>mens rea<\/em>, may require an understanding of predictive brain processing.<\/p>\n<p>Another lesson comes from \u201cMooney\u201d images.\u00a0 Take a look at this abstract image:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3853\" src=\"https:\/\/law.temple.edu\/aer\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/01\/frog-image.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"516\" height=\"413\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Now, look at the below photo and then go back to the abstraction.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3857\" src=\"https:\/\/law.temple.edu\/aer\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/01\/mooney-frog.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"374\" height=\"287\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>It is now easy to see the eyes in the first image.\u00a0 And how does that translate in court?\u00a0 If you are playing\u00a0 a poorly recorded conversation but give jurors a written transcript, the written words predict\/inform what they then hear in ambiguous settings.\u00a0 The words will sound clearer, even if they are not.<\/p>\n<p>Is there a more direct application of the prediction machine model to courtroom advocacy?\u00a0 Here is the inquiry I sent to Dr. Clark:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px\">Here is the question &#8211; I want to write about the prediction machine model as it pertains to how jurors receive information overall.\u00a0 We teach the importance of story-telling in a jury opening statement as a way to frame the isolated pieces of proof that will be offered at trial; and we further teach that (1) if we don&#8217;t give the jurors a story they will construct their own and then &#8216;see&#8217; the rest of the trial through that framing and (2) if the story we provide is unfamiliar with their experiences the jurors may drop it for their own story.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px\">My question is whether the lessons on story discussed above align with the prediction machine model.\u00a0 To me they do, but\u00a0I don&#8217;t have expertise and hope to confirm this.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Dr. Clark shared the following: \u201cThanks for raising this important issue. The PP account suggests that the initial story will act as a contextual frame that alters the way evidence is then assessed &#8211; it might even alter the way pictorial evidence is seen or experienced &#8211; In general framing effects are powerful ways of setting the priors that then impact experience.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>So our takeaways? What we have intuited\/taught from a narrative\/power-of-story vantage is also supported by the mind as a predictive machine.\u00a0 Implant the story, the emotions, the sensations \u2013 and let them then help the jurors \u201cpredict\u201d what we want them to see.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BY JULES EPSTEIN When we look at something \u2013 an inanimate object, an event unfolding \u2013 does that stimulus go into our brain and tell the brain \u201chere I am, recognize me!\u201d\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0Put more simply, is it like a camera where sensory input paints the picture on the \u2018film.\u2019\u00a0 Or is the brain wired differently,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"generate_page_header":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,1],"tags":[],"coauthors":[330],"class_list":["post-3848","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-brain-lessons","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - 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